Why is the number of cases of coronavirus now several times higher than in April, and the death rate is lower?

Why is the number of cases of coronavirus now several times higher than in April, and the death rate is lower?

US deaths surge +++ Germany begins studies on actual infection rates | Coronavirus Update

Health
Coronavirus
Diseases
Pandemic

why such a difference in morbidity / mortality

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answers (2)

Answer 1
September, 2021

Vadim, during this period some tests were carried out to study and course of the disease, and conclusions were drawn. People continue to get infected, because the situation is such that, first of all, all families that need to be supported and fed, therefore, cannot be avoided with other people. Many patients are still continuing treatment. The mortality rate has decreased in part due to mass information, i.e. we begin to comply with the most necessary rules from mask mode to timely medical assistance and testing. And health issues for everyone are now the most important, because they concern not only one person personally, it is, first of all, responsibility for our relatives and friends, and for everyone who is with us. Why is the data on testing for Covid-19 antibodies so important is also a very frequent question, the answer is here: https://srochnozajm.ru/pochemu-tak-vazhny-dannye-po-testirovaniju-na-antitela-covid-19.html

Answer 2
September, 2021

I think :

  • one reason is that no one has the real numbers of April cases. Asymptomatic 80-90%, ... What, in general, are we talking about? What numbers can be? Maybe then there were not less, but more? There were no them, competent samples, the required number of tests for antibodies. And, now, the situation is not brilliant. I heard on the radio of Russia, in the car on the way home, the opinion of a guest of the studio - a specialist in medical statistics (prof., Doctor_n. Level): there was no undistorted (by the method of collection), intelligible, SIGNIFICANT data, at the time (about a month and a half back) radio broadcasts, which means in April - even more so. The presenter asks what will happen ... forecasts? And the pundit says: there is nothing to calculate from, Filkin's literacy, not statistics, even what is is unsuitable, because even the slightest rules of collection, one formalism are not kept.
  • the second is that in the "window opening" of the general stream of transmission of infection, a still rare "mosquito net" has emerged from the share of owners of immunity. The last, from the news, correct, claims that this level is about 10-20%, with random surveys.
  • the third, is that the density of this mesh is heterogeneous, and the densest, it became in the places of the greatest initial probability of infection. Those. the main "anthills" have a large percentage of carriers of immunity (this is obvious - IMHO).
  • fourth, that the most likely victims of the disease, unfortunately, have already been infected and died, at the stage of the initial "carelessness".
  • the fifth, of course, consists in the fact that the cumbersome medical-restrictive government machine, after all, somehow, but started spinning. This is bearing fruit. They limited, many foci were effectively localized and relaxed. They are rescued on mechanical ventilation, hospitalized in a timely manner according to an updated anamnesis, then - they did not really know the correct symptoms.
  • sixth, that some part of the population, even a very small one, nevertheless, effectively uses satellites.

In short: the cumulative change in "ratios", whether or not specified here, resulted in a decrease in the "derivative". Hopefully it turned negative.

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